Treffer: Online Statistical Inference for Stochastic Optimization via Kiefer-Wolfowitz Methods.

Title:
Online Statistical Inference for Stochastic Optimization via Kiefer-Wolfowitz Methods.
Authors:
Chen, Xi1 (AUTHOR) xc13@stern.nyu.edu, Lai, Zehua2 (AUTHOR), Li, He1 (AUTHOR), Zhang, Yichen3 (AUTHOR)
Source:
Journal of the American Statistical Association. Dec2024, Vol. 119 Issue 548, p2972-2982. 11p.
Database:
Business Source Premier

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This article investigates the problem of online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems via the Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions. We first present the asymptotic distribution for the Polyak-Ruppert-averaging type Kiefer-Wolfowitz (AKW) estimators, whose asymptotic covariance matrices depend on the distribution of search directions and the function-value query complexity. The distributional result reflects the tradeoff between statistical efficiency and function query complexity. We further analyze the choice of random search directions to minimize certain summary statistics of the asymptotic covariance matrix. Based on the asymptotic distribution, we conduct online statistical inference by providing two construction procedures of valid confidence intervals. for this article are available online. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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