Treffer: AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION PATTERNS IN TAMIL NADU: INSIGHTS FROM VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE ANALYSIS USING PYTHON PROGRAMMING.

Understanding agricultural production patterns is crucial for enhancing productivity and ensuring food security. This study explores the dynamics of agricultural production in Tamil Nadu using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model to capture the interdependence among various crop yields and rainfall over time. Employing Python programming for data analysis and modeling, the study leverages historical time-series data to identify trends, forecast production, and analyze the impact of external shocks on agricultural outputs. The research incorporates preprocessing techniques to ensure stationarity, optimal lag selection using Akaike’s Information Criterion(AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC), and diagnostic checks for model accuracy and stability. The findings provide insights into the temporal relationships among various crops and rainfall. Additionally, Impulse Response Functions(IRF) and variance decomposition analyses offer a deeper understanding of how shocks to one variable propagate through the system. The study demonstrates the utility of Python-based VAR models in agricultural forecasting and decision-making, offering policymakers and stakeholders a robust tool to improve resource allocation and agricultural planning in Tamil Nadu. This work highlights the potential of data-driven approaches to address challenges in the agricultural sector effectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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