Treffer: Predicting future duration from present age : a critical assessment
Title:
Predicting future duration from present age : a critical assessment
Authors:
Source:
Contemporary physics. 41(3):143-153
Publisher Information:
London: Taylor & Francis, 2000.
Publication Year:
2000
Physical Description:
print, 9 ref
Original Material:
INIST-CNRS
Subject Terms:
Physics, Physique, Sciences exactes et technologie, Exact sciences and technology, Terre, ocean, espace, Earth, ocean, space, Astronomie, Astronomy, Systèmes stellaires. Objets et systèmes galactiques et extragalactiques. L'univers, Stellar systems. Galactic and extragalactic objects and systems. The universe, Divers, Other topics on stellar systems; galactic and extragalactic objects and systems; the universe, Cosmology, Other topics on stellar systems; interstellar medium; galactic and extragalactic objects and systems; the Universe, Estimation probabiliste, Probabilistic estimation, Etude théorique, Theoretical study, Futurologie, Futurology, Futurología, Longévité, Life span, Phénomène critique, Critical phenomena, Prédiction, Prediction, Predicción, Univers, Universe
Document Type:
Fachzeitschrift
Article
File Description:
text
Language:
English
Author Affiliations:
Center for Advanced Studies, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico 87131-1156, United States
ISSN:
0010-7514
Rights:
Copyright 2000 INIST-CNRS
CC BY 4.0
Sauf mention contraire ci-dessus, le contenu de cette notice bibliographique peut être utilisé dans le cadre d’une licence CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS / Unless otherwise stated above, the content of this bibliographic record may be used under a CC BY 4.0 licence by Inist-CNRS / A menos que se haya señalado antes, el contenido de este registro bibliográfico puede ser utilizado al amparo de una licencia CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS
CC BY 4.0
Sauf mention contraire ci-dessus, le contenu de cette notice bibliographique peut être utilisé dans le cadre d’une licence CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS / Unless otherwise stated above, the content of this bibliographic record may be used under a CC BY 4.0 licence by Inist-CNRS / A menos que se haya señalado antes, el contenido de este registro bibliográfico puede ser utilizado al amparo de una licencia CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS
Notes:
Astronomy
Accession Number:
edscal.1391735
Database:
PASCAL Archive
Weitere Informationen
Using a temporal version of the Copernican principle, Gott has proposed a statistical predictor of future longevity based on present age (Gott III, J. R., 1993, Nature, 363, 315) and applied the predictor to a variety of examples, including the longevity of the human species. Although Gott's proposal contains a grain of truth, it does not have the universal predictive power that he attributes to it.