Result: A comprehensive performance evaluation of MM5-CAMQ for the summer 1999 southern oxidants study episode, Part III Diagnostic and mechanistic evaluations
Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., 2682 Bishop Dr., Suite 120, San Ramon, CA 94583, United States
CC BY 4.0
Sauf mention contraire ci-dessus, le contenu de cette notice bibliographique peut être utilisé dans le cadre d’une licence CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS / Unless otherwise stated above, the content of this bibliographic record may be used under a CC BY 4.0 licence by Inist-CNRS / A menos que se haya señalado antes, el contenido de este registro bibliográfico puede ser utilizado al amparo de una licencia CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS
Further Information
As Part III of a comprehensive evaluation of CMAQ for the summer 1999 Southern Oxidants Study episode, the observed number (N), volume (V), surface area (S), and size distributions of accumulation-mode particles during the Aerosol Research Inhalation Epidemiological Study (ARIES) are used to evaluate CMAQ's capability in reproducing PM size distributions. CMAQ underpredicts V, S, and geometric number mean diameter (by a factor of 1.24-1.54), and overpredicts N, geometric standard deviation, and geometric volume mean diameter (by a factor of 1.46-2.2) on most days. In addition to inaccurate meteorology and emissions, insufficient condensational growth of PM and uncertainty in the initial size distribution may contribute to the underpredictions in V and S. An overestimation of the PM number emission rates (by a factor of 3-5.3) and several other model assumptions/treatments may contribute to the PM number overpredictions. Among the factors that we studied, the floor value of Kzz, the boundary conditions (BCONs) of O3, the emissions of gaseous precursors such as NOx and NH3 and primary PM species such as POM, and the assumed initial PM size distribution and emission fractions have been identified to be the most influential factors that affect the overall model performance. Sensitivity simulations with a floor value of Kzz of 0.1cm2 s-1, adjusted emissions of NOx, NH3, and POM, and adjusted initial PM size distribution and emission fractions provide moderate-to-significant improvements. Further investigation into the uncertainties/deficiencies in model treatments for PM such as gas-to-particle mass transfer will identify additional causes for discrepancies between observations and predictions.